From the front page · Thread · The whole shelf · 2026-10-15

Jack Daniel's holds the value end of the whole American shelf

mergedflaggedmay_publish truequality passsite_publish trueprices: 10 price claim(s) verified live

1/Jack Daniel's fills the value end of the American shelf in four different sizes. Fifty-six bottles in all, each priced live at Dan Murphy's. One brand anchors the cheap side; the allocated bourbon piles up at the dear side.

2/Two weeks on from the last American read, 40 of 56 bottles carry a different price or a different zone against their own jury. That is 71% of the shelf. New numbers, then, not a rerun of the last cycle.

3/The method: measure each ticket by how far its price stands above the fair value its own ten-seat panel sets, read as a premium. No bottle here lands below its own average, so "hottest" just means the thinnest premium, not anything worth chasing.

4/Jack Daniel's Old No.7 owns the near end across four sizes. The 700mL at $57 and the 1L at $80 each carry under a tenth of a percent of premium. The 1.136L at $95 and the 1.75L at $154 clear it by a whisker. Wild Turkey 81 proof at $51 completes the five.

5/Pool every review across the shelf and the recurring words are cornbread, charcoal, cola, a touch of earth, banana and sawdust. Think of it as the American house signature taken as a whole, not a verdict on any one bottle named above.

6/The costly side is all allocated. Old Rip Van Winkle 10yo $900, near 44% over mean, the 12yo $1000, close to 43%. Then JD Single Barrel $117, JD Bonded $96, Blanton's SFTB $304. Straightest-value American pour this week, the $57 Jack, or did I miss one? Your ticket?

Sources

Coverage: 56 of 56 members priced live in the 2026-10-15 harvest (100%) — grounding.coverage (n_observed/n_members).
Price band $50.00–$1000.00, median $80.47; scope-average CE 360° mean ≈ $91.62 — grounding.price_band, grounding.ce_360_mean_avg.
Headlined non-700mL sizes: the hot end is Jack Daniel's Old No.7 in four sizes — 700mL ($57), 1L ($80), 1.136L ($95) and 1.75L ($154). The 1L, 1.136L and 1.75L are not the standard 700mL fill; their prices are per-bottle live tickets, not per-litre, so they are not directly comparable to the 700mL ticket.
Shelf character words (country-level, parent-relative, pooled over 45 reviews): cornbread, charcoal, cola, earth, banana, sawdust — grounding.words (noise tokens "great", "develops", "tortillas", "pinch" set aside as non-descriptive). No per-bottle tasting notes are asserted; the words describe the shelf, not any one bottle.
Cool-down (decision 15): USA (country): led 2026-10-01-whole-shelf-usa.md 14 day(s) earlier — CHANGED, may lead again; the piece must say what changed: 40 of 56 bottles changed price or 360° zone (71%; the bar is 10%) (2026-10-01.1 to 2026-10-15.1). The "40 of 56" count is the cool-down change figure, not a claims entry; it is a count of how many bottles differ from the earlier build, stated as a plain observation, never a trend or repricing claim.

End	Item	Price	Gap %	Priced
Hot 1	Jack Daniel's Old No.7 Tennessee Whiskey 700mL	$57	+0.09%	observed 2026-10-15
Hot 2	Jack Daniel's Old No.7 Tennessee Whiskey 1L	$80	+0.09%	observed 2026-10-15
Hot 3	Jack Daniel's Old No.7 Tennessee Whiskey 1.136L	$95	+0.12%	observed 2026-10-15
(hot)	Jack Daniel's Old No.7 Tennessee Whiskey 1.75L	$154	+0.14%	observed 2026-10-15
(hot)	Wild Turkey Kentucky Straight Bourbon Whiskey 81p 700mL	$51	+0.45%	observed 2026-10-15
Cold 1	Old Rip Van Winkle 10 Year Old 107 Proof Bourbon Whiskey 700mL	$900	+43.67%	observed 2026-10-15
Cold 2	Old Rip Van Winkle 12 Year Old Special Reserve 750mL	$1000	+42.74%	observed 2026-10-15
Cold 3	Jack Daniel's Single Barrel Select Tennessee Whiskey 700mL	$117	+39.95%	observed 2026-10-15
(cold)	Jack Daniels Bonded Whiskey 700mL	$96	+36.28%	observed 2026-10-15
(cold)	Blanton's Straight From The Barrel Bourbon 700mL	$304	+34.90%	observed 2026-10-15

Omissions

None recorded.

Notes for reviewer

Flagged: repeat scope. USA last led a thread on 2026-10-01, which clears the 4-week cool-down only because its finding changed (40 of 56 bottles moved price or 360° zone since, 71%). The post states that change as a dated count, not as a trend or a market move; please confirm post 2 does not read as "prices are rising/falling".
"Hot"/"cold" are value labels only (premium over each bottle's own jury), never sales velocity or a trend; no bottle sits under its own mean, so nothing here is a discount.
The hot end is four sizes of the same bottle, Jack Daniel's Old No.7 (700mL, 1L, 1.136L, 1.75L), plus Wild Turkey 81 proof; the non-700mL sizes are headlined, so the post and Sources name the sizes explicitly rather than implying one bottle.

Format note

Whole Shelf, scope USA (country), vintage 2026-10-15.1, pack country-usa-aggregate.json. Gap basis PERCENTAGE; ce_gap_pct=(price−CE 360° mean)/price×100, each bottle's premium over its own CE 360° consensus; 'hot'=smallest premium (least over fair value), 'cold'=largest. No bottle sits below its own mean, so 'hot' is not a bargain or a discount. 'Hot'/'cold' are value labels only, never velocity or trend. Coverage 56 of 56 priced live in the 2026-10-15 harvest (100%). Repeat scope: last led 2026-10-01-whole-shelf-usa.md 14 days earlier — CHANGED (40 of 56 bottles moved price or 360° zone, 71%, bar 10%), so it may lead again and the post states what changed. The hot end is Jack Daniel's Old No.7 in four sizes (700mL, 1L, 1.136L, 1.75L); the non-700mL sizes are headlined, so note them. Sources holds the stored top/bottom notable-mover cut, not the full 56-bottle ranking.

Frontmatter as merged

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source file: drafts/2026-10-15-whole-shelf-usa.md