Scotch at Dan Murphy's, priced every Thursday. Lagavulin 16 and the ten bottles that define it.
Dan Murphy's · week of 2026-11-05
vintage 2026-11-05.1
operator tier
production build · main@940a5be

From the front page · Thread · The whole shelf · 2026-10-01

Japanese blends land near fair while the age statements charge rent

mergedmay_publish truequality passsite_publish trueprices: 10 price claim(s) verified live

1/The honest work on the Japanese shelf is done by the blends. Tenjaku, The Chita and Shinobu all sit near their own 360° jury; the age-statement malts and Hibiki carry the Japan tax. All 24 bottles priced live at Dan Murphy's this Thursday, the whole shelf. 9 of them have moved.

2/How I read it: each price against the fair value its own ten-seat jury hands that bottle, in percent. Nothing on this shelf dips under its mean. So the near end is "least over", the closest to fair, not a discount and not a deal. The far end is paying most above.

3/The least-over end, all live. Tenjaku at $92 sits about 1% past its jury, as close to fair as this shelf gets. The Chita at $111, near 3%. Mars Iwai at $108, same rung. Behind them both Shinobu blends hover around 3% too. Blends keep the honest prices here.

4/The words behind the shelf, pooled off its own reviews, country-wide: blended and mizunara oak, a thread of smoke, the Shinobu and Niigata house styles combining soft grain with cask. That is the Japanese character the reviews keep naming. Not a note on any single pour.

5/The dear end. Kurayoshi The Tottori at $97 runs about 39% over its own mean, the widest gap on the shelf and a live price, not a stale one. Then the age statements: Yamazaki 12 at $376 near 32%, Hakushu 12 at $378 near 29%. Small bottle, big premium up top.

6/So the tidy read: Japan's a shelf where the blends behave and the labels charge rent. The cheapest honest way on is Tenjaku at $92 or The Chita at $111. Hibiki Harmony asks $730 for the gift box. Which would you pour tonight, the $92 blend or the $730 bottle?

Sources

  • Coverage: 24 of 24 members priced live in the 2026-10-01 harvest (100%) — grounding.coverage (n_observed/n_members).
  • Price band $69.95–$730.00, median $118.50; scope-average CE 360° mean ≈ $159.46 — grounding.price_band, grounding.ce_360_mean_avg.
  • Shelf character words (country-level, parent-relative, pooled over 20 reviews): japanese, blended, mizunara, smoke, combines, niigata — grounding.words (noise tokens "whisky", "whiskies", "shinobu", "region" dropped). No per-bottle tasting notes are asserted; the words describe the shelf, not any one bottle.
  • Cool-down (decision 15): Japan (country): led 2026-09-10-whole-shelf-japan.md 21 day(s) earlier — CHANGED, may lead again; the piece must say what changed: 9 of 24 bottles changed price or 360° zone (38%; the bar is 10%) (2026-09-10.r to 2026-10-01.1)
End Item Price Gap % Priced
Hot 1 Tenjaku Blended Japanese Whisky 700mL $92 +1.03% observed 2026-10-01
Hot 2 The Chita Japanese Whisky 700mL $111 +2.63% observed 2026-10-01
Hot 3 Mars Iwai Bourbon Barrel Whisky 750mL $108 +3.16% observed 2026-10-01
(hot) The Shinobu Blended Japanese Whisky 700mL $110 +3.29% observed 2026-10-01
(hot) The Shinobu Pure Malt Japanese Whisky 700mL $147 +3.42% observed 2026-10-01
Cold 1 Kurayoshi The Tottori Blended Japanese Whisky 700mL $97 +38.58% observed 2026-10-01
Cold 2 Yamazaki 12 Year Old Single Malt Japanese Whisky 700mL $376 +31.87% observed 2026-10-01
Cold 3 Hakushu 12 Year Old Whisky 700mL $378 +29.04% observed 2026-10-01
(cold) Hibiki Japanese Harmony 2021 Limited Edition Blended Whisky 700mL $730 +18.78% observed 2026-10-01
(cold) The Shinobu Pure Malt 10 Year Old Japanese Whisky 700mL $198 +17.25% observed 2026-10-01

Omissions

None recorded.

Notes for reviewer

  • All prices and gap percentages in the posts trace to a claims row and to the Sources table; no figure is invented.
  • Hibiki Harmony at $730 is quoted as the shelf's top ticket for the engagement tail; its gap of +18.78% is genuine and live, below the age-statement malts despite the price. Flagged here so the dollar-vs-gap distinction is not mistaken for an error.
  • "Hot"/"cold" used only as value-signal labels against each bottle's own jury, never as velocity, popularity, or trend.

Format note

Whole Shelf, scope Japan (country), vintage 2026-10-01.1, pack country-japan-aggregate.json. Gap basis PERCENTAGE; ce_gap_pct=(price−CE 360° mean)/price×100, each bottle's premium over its own CE 360° consensus; 'hot'=smallest premium (least over fair value), 'cold'=largest. No bottle sits below its own mean, so 'hot' is not a bargain. 'Hot'/'cold' are value labels only, never velocity or trend. Coverage 24 of 24 priced live in the 2026-10-01 harvest (100%). Sources holds the stored top/bottom notable-mover cut, not the full ranked shelf.

Frontmatter as merged
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source file: drafts/2026-10-01-whole-shelf-japan.md