Scotch at Dan Murphy's, priced every Thursday. Lagavulin 16 and the ten bottles that define it.
Dan Murphy's · week of 2026-11-05
vintage 2026-11-05.1
operator tier
production build · main@940a5be

From the Chita desk · Thread · Price raid · 2026-09-17

The Chita crosses $100, just over its peer jury

mergedmay_publish falsequality passsite_publish trueprices: 1 price claim(s) verified live

1/The Chita is Suntory's single-grain, the light one in the Japanese line-up, and it's crossed a hundred dollars. It's $111 at Dan Murphy's this morning, up from $99.95 last Thursday.

2/Its own CE 360° jury of ten comparable bottles reads The Chita at about $97, with a ceiling near $98. At $111 it's sitting a step past the top of that band — dearer than its peer group scores it.

3/The whisky is the same easy, soft grain it was under a hundred. Light orchard fruit with a tropical edge, made for a long highball. Nothing in the glass has moved; the sticker has.

4/Only a small step over fair value, but a step the wrong way for a bottle that was under $100 a week ago. Worth holding for the round number to come back. What's it going for near you?

Sources

  • generate_cycle.py replay payload, artefact 2026-09-17-replay/price-raid/the-chita-japanese-whisky-700ml-ff3f9c; harvest pair base 2026-09-10, latest 2026-09-17.
  • This week's ticket: $111 (claim value 111.0; grounding.current_price 111.0), no member offer. Last week: $99.95 (grounding.baseline_price 99.95), no member offer. Delta +$11.04, +11.0% (flag OK, corrected false).
  • CE 360° fair value: mean $96.77, P50 $96.59, band [$95.33, $98.45]; gap over consensus 3.2% = 26th percentile (2026-09-17.r dossier the-chita-japanese-whisky-700ml-neighbourhood.md, reference card). $97 and $98 are the rounded mean and band ceiling.
  • Character: factor profile Orchard & Cereal 0.13 (light, soft, floral, orchard) + Tropical & Rum Cask 0.03 (tropical, mango, coconut) (same dossier).

Omissions

  • No peer prices are quoted; the standing rests on the bottle's own CE 360° jury.
  • No percentage move and no trend language: this week's ticket against last week's, the jury figure carrying the standing.

Notes for reviewer

  • Clears the bar as a rise with standing: $111 is over the CE 360° mean ($96.77) and just past its ceiling ($98.45). The margin over fair value is modest — the post says so rather than overselling it.
  • Replay draft on rehearsal vintage 2026-09-17.r; may_publish: false and never flips in replay.

Format note

Price raid, rise direction. Move measured on the harvest pair 2026-09-10 → 2026-09-17: $99.95 last week, $111 this week, no member offer either week (like-for-like shelf comparison). Standing read against the bottle's own CE 360° fair value (mean $96.77, band ceiling $98.45, 2026-09-17.r dossier). flag OK, corrected false, in_ce_cohort true.

Frontmatter as merged
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 "date": "2026-09-17T00:00:00.000Z",
 "title": "The Chita crosses $100, just over its peer jury",
 "angle": "price-raid",
 "position": "n/a",
 "status": "draft",
 "derives_from": "none — standalone; the automated replay cycle grounds this on the week's harvest pair and the vintage's CE 360° bands, no spoke article backs it",
 "grounded_on": "harvest pair 2026-09-10 → 2026-09-17 (the move); 2026-09-17.r dossier (CE 360° fair value)",
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 "subjects": [
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 "verified_at": "2026-09-27T07:31:42.000Z",
 "verified_by": "etl/price_verify.py (harvest sidecar danmurphys_whisky_products_2026-09-17.normalised.csv, as of 2026-09-17)",
 "verified_prices": {
  "673265": 110.99
 },
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}
premium over CE 360° · shared scale 0% to +70% across the eleven
source file: drafts/2026-09-17-price-raid-the-chita.md