Scotch at Dan Murphy's, priced every Thursday. Lagavulin 16 and the ten bottles that define it.
Dan Murphy's · week of 2026-11-05
vintage 2026-11-05.1
operator tier
production build · main@940a5be

From the front page · Thread · The whole shelf · 2026-09-10

The bourbon shelf pays fair until the hunt sets the price

mergedmay_publish falsequality passsite_publish trueprices: 10 price claim(s) verified live

1/Most of the bourbon shelf pays a fair price. Thirty-nine bottles, and through the honest middle the ticket sits about where the CE 360° jury of peers reckons it should. The drama is all at the top, where the hunted names live and the pour stops setting the price.

2/Every bottle here was priced live at Dan Murphy's this week — 39 of 39, none carried. Big enough to be a real shelf, small enough to walk end to end. No curated pick. The whole thing.

3/Closest to fair, and closest doesn't mean cheapest: Wild Turkey 81-proof at $55, barely a third of a percent over its own number. Ezra Brooks at $70 (under one percent). Early Times Gold at fifty-eight dollars, 1.65% over.

4/Basil Hayden's ($80) and Weller Special Reserve ($100) fill out that tight front row, both inside two-and-a-half percent. None is a discount, mind — every gap on this shelf runs one way, above the jury. The hot end just runs it least.

5/The words are plain bourbon: vanilla and caramel, honey and toffee, a little leather and rye. Light-to-medium, sweet, some dried fruit. Priced about where that profile sits.

6/Then the top. Old Rip Van Winkle 10-year at $900, and the 12-year at $1,000 — each better than thirty percent over its own jury. Blanton's Straight From The Barrel at $304 sits 30.78% over, a near dead heat with the two Pappys. That's the trophy shelf.

7/Two more read steep, and they're not the same. Jack Daniel's Gentleman Jack at $65 is 21% over — a stiff ask for the pour. Jim Beam Pineapple at $55 sits 22.29% over, but that's a flavoured novelty judged against a straight-bourbon jury, not a hunted trophy.

Sources

  • generate_cycle.py replay payload, artefact 2026-09-10-replay/whole-shelf/bourbon-whisky-style-ccd938, vintage 2026-09-10.r. Gap basis: percentage (grounding.gap_basis).
  • Coverage: 39 of 39 members observed (100%); price band $50.95–$899.99, median $85.995; CE 360° mean-avg about $110.45 (grounding.coverage, grounding.price_band, grounding.ce_360_mean_avg).
  • Shelf words (parent-relative, 27 reviews pooled): vanilla, caramel, light, dried, leather, medium, rye, sweet, honey, toffee (grounding.words).
  • Hot 5, smallest premium over own mean (grounding.hot, all observed): Wild Turkey 81p $55 (0.36% over); Ezra Brooks $70 (0.99%); Early Times Gold $58 (1.65%); Basil Hayden's $80 (2.27%); Weller Special Reserve $100 (2.38%).
  • Cold 5, largest premium (grounding.cold): Old Rip Van Winkle 10 Year $900 (31.27% over); Old Rip Van Winkle 12 Year $1,000 (30.99%); Blanton's Straight From The Barrel $304 (30.78%); Jim Beam Pineapple $55 (22.29%); Jack Daniel's Gentleman Jack $65 (21.01%).

Omissions

  • Full coverage: 39 of 39 members priced live this cycle, no carried (last-observed) prices to name.
  • The Sources cut is the aggregate's stored top/bottom movers, not the full 39-bottle ranking; the sidecar does not store every member's gap.
  • 'Hot' and 'cold' are value-position labels only — distance from each bottle's own CE 360° mean, never sales velocity, popularity, or a price move over time. No bottle here sits below its own mean, so 'hot' is the smallest premium, not a bargain.
  • Jim Beam Pineapple ranks among the cold five as a value signal only: a flavoured bottle judged against a straight-bourbon consensus reads dear, which is a category-mismatch artefact, not a hunted premium like the Pappy/Blanton's top.

Notes for reviewer

None recorded.

Format note

Whole Shelf, scope Bourbon (whisky_style), vintage 2026-09-10.r (pack whisky_style-bourbon-aggregate.json). Gap basis: percentage — read from the aggregate as stored (max/min price ratio ≥ 2, and this shelf runs $50.95–$899.99). Coverage: 39 of 39 members priced live in the 2026-09-10 harvest (100%). ce_gap_pct = (price − ce_360_mean) / price × 100, each bottle's premium over its own CE 360° consensus; 'hot' is the smallest premium (closest to fair value, not a discount), 'cold' the largest. Sources holds the aggregate's stored top/bottom cut, not every member's gap.

Frontmatter as merged
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source file: drafts/2026-09-10-whole-shelf-bourbon.md