Scotch at Dan Murphy's, priced every Thursday. Lagavulin 16 and the ten bottles that define it.
Dan Murphy's · week of 2026-11-05
vintage 2026-11-05.1
operator tier
production build · main@940a5be

From the Canadian Club desk · Thread · Similarity surprise · 2026-09-10

A Canadian blend and a Speyside malt land seventh-closest

mergedmay_publish falsequality passsite_publish trueprices: 2 price claim(s) verified live

1/The model puts a Speyside single malt and a Canadian blend seventh-closest in the whole set. Cragganmore 12, the Speyside, at $86. Canadian Club 12 across from it. Two shelves that never share a bay.

2/Read what that closeness is. It's the arithmetic on their flavour make-up sitting near each other, not two glasses poured side by side. Profile geometry. Nobody's saying they taste the same.

3/The value read points at the Cragganmore. It sits under the floor of its own Speyside peers and at the bottom of its own recent range. Two separate measures, both saying cheap, neither leaning on the other. $86 the bottle.

4/Canadian Club reads cheap too, and I'd trust that one less as a signal: its $80 is a member price, not the shelf. Good if you're a member, worth checking before you count on it.

5/So: one flavour shape the engine can barely tell apart, split across a Canadian blend and a Scottish malt. The Speyside's the one lining up two ways. Cragganmore 12 at $86, or the Canadian Club? (Both this Thursday.)

Sources

  • generate_cycle.py replay payload, artefact 2026-09-10-replay/similarity-surprise/canadian-club-12-year-old-classic-blended-canadian-whisky-70-dc8d5b, vintage 2026-09-10.r, own-history window as-of 2026-09-10.
  • Cragganmore 12 Year Old Single Malt Scotch Whisky 700mL: live ticket $86 (claim / grounding.cand.price), shelf basis, not a member offer. Band position 'under floor'; cohort direction cheap, own-history percentile 0.0 (bottom of its own recent range), both axes agree (agrees true, direction cheap). 7 observations.
  • Canadian Club 12 Year Old Classic Blended Canadian Whisky 700mL: live ticket $80 (claim / grounding.ref.price), MEMBER OFFER basis (member_offer true). Band position 'under floor'; cohort cheap and own-history percentile 0.0, axes agree; disclosed as the member-priced side, not the value anchor. 7 observations.
  • Closeness: CE rank 7 (within the format's cutoff of 10); VSM profile cosine 0.7777, VSM rank 13 (candidate.pair, rank_diff 6).
  • Never shelve together: same_country false, same_style false (Canadian blend vs Scottish single malt); the names carry both splits.

Omissions

  • Light form only: no numeric CE 360 band bounds, no cross-read CEARP, no Welch t-test. The post uses the position label ('under the floor'), not the band numbers.
  • Both bottles' axes agree in the payload; the post rests the value line on ONE of them — the Cragganmore, shelf basis — and holds Canadian Club back because its $80 is a member offer, not the shelf ticket.
  • Canadian Club's $80 is a member price (member_offer true). Disclosed in-post and here; no shelf price is claimed for it.
  • No per-bottle tasting notes are asserted; the payload carries no per-item flavour words for this pair.

Notes for reviewer

None recorded.

Format note

Similarity-surprise, light form: two live tickets, each bottle's band-position label and own-history percentile, the pair's CE rank. Full form (numeric CE 360 bands, cross-read CEARP, Welch t-test) is unbuilt in the module and NOT quoted. Value line rests on Cragganmore's two-axis agreement (under its cohort floor AND at the bottom of its own recent range), shelf basis. Canadian Club's $80 ticket is a member offer — member basis. Hook rests on CE rank 7, not rank 1, and the post says so.

Frontmatter as merged
{
 "date": "2026-09-10T00:00:00.000Z",
 "title": "A Canadian blend and a Speyside malt land seventh-closest",
 "angle": "similarity-surprise",
 "position": "n/a",
 "status": "draft",
 "derives_from": "none — replay/standalone thread; no article backing on a replayed week",
 "grounded_on": "2026-09-10.r (CE rank and band positions); own-history window as-of 2026-09-10",
 "may_publish": false,
 "replay": true,
 "review_priority": "standard",
 "artefact_id": "2026-09-10-replay/similarity-surprise/canadian-club-12-year-old-classic-blended-canadian-whisky-70-dc8d5b",
 "claims": [
  {
   "item": "Canadian Club 12 Year Old Classic Blended Canadian Whisky 700mL",
   "kind": "price",
   "value": 80
  },
  {
   "item": "Cragganmore 12 Year Old Single Malt Scotch Whisky 700mL",
   "kind": "price",
   "value": 86
  }
 ],
 "subjects": [
  "Canadian Club 12 Year Old Classic Blended Canadian Whisky 700mL",
  "Cragganmore 12 Year Old Single Malt Scotch Whisky 700mL"
 ],
 "format_note": "Similarity-surprise, light form: two live tickets, each bottle's band-position label and own-history percentile, the pair's CE rank. Full form (numeric CE 360 bands, cross-read CEARP, Welch t-test) is unbuilt in the module and NOT quoted. Value line rests on Cragganmore's two-axis agreement (under its cohort floor AND at the bottom of its own recent range), shelf basis. Canadian Club's $80 ticket is a member offer — member basis. Hook rests on CE rank 7, not rank 1, and the post says so.",
 "verified_at": "2026-09-27T07:08:05.000Z",
 "verified_by": "etl/price_verify.py (harvest sidecar danmurphys_whisky_products_2026-09-10.normalised.csv, as of 2026-09-10)",
 "verified_prices": {
  "49655": 79.99,
  "84914": 85.9
 },
 "verification_note": "2 price claim(s) verified live",
 "quality_gate": "pass",
 "gated_at": "2026-09-27T07:08:05.000Z",
 "site_publish": true
}