Scotch at Dan Murphy's, priced every Thursday. Lagavulin 16 and the ten bottles that define it.
Dan Murphy's · week of 2026-11-05
vintage 2026-11-05.1
operator tier
production build · main@940a5be

From the Royal Salute desk · Thread · Price raid · 2026-08-27

Royal Salute 21 is $50 up on last week, and over its jury

mergedflaggedmay_publish falsequality passsite_publish trueprices: 1 price claim(s) verified live

1/Royal Salute 21 is $259.99 at Dan Murphy's this morning. Last Thursday the same bottle was $209.95, no deal attached. There's a My Dan Murphy's member price this week, $250, and even that sits above last week's plain shelf.

2/Here's the standing behind the ticket. Royal Salute 21's own CE 360° jury (ten comparable bottles scored on make-up) reads it at about $191, topping out near $204. At $250 for members or $259.99 on the shelf, it's well over what that peer group calls it worth.

3/It's a sherried, dried-fruit 21-year-old blend in a handsome bottle, and none of that has changed. The number has. That's the whole note today: the price is out ahead of the liquid's peer value.

4/So this one reads as a hold, not a grab. Seen it under $250 in your state this Thursday? Post the ticket — I'd like to know where the older price is still ringing up.

Sources

  • generate_cycle.py replay payload, artefact 2026-08-27-replay/price-raid/royal-salute-21-year-old-blended-scotch-whisky-700ml-b054f8; harvest pair base 2026-08-20, latest 2026-08-27.
  • This week's ticket: shelf/list $259.99, member offer $250.00 (on_offer yes, member_offer_flag yes, 2026-08-27, Stockcode 11780; grounding.current_price 260 rounds to the $259.99 list, current_price_harvest 250.0). Claim value 260.0.
  • Last week's ticket: $209.95, member = list, on_offer no (2026-08-20 harvest; grounding.baseline_price 209.95). A single flat price, so this week's list is a like-for-like comparison, not a member/non-member switch.
  • CE 360° fair value: mean $191.38, P50 $192.31, band [$181.52, $204.41] (2026-08-27.r dossier royal-salute-21-year-old-blended-scotch-neighbourhood.md, reference card; gap over consensus 8.8% = 57th percentile). Ten-member jury per the CE 360 construction.
  • Character: factor profile Sherry & Dried Fruit 0.18 + Orchard & Cereal 0.03 (same dossier).

Omissions

  • No peer prices are quoted, so the standing rests on the bottle's own CE 360 jury, not on a live cross-read of its cohort's current tickets.
  • No percentage move and no trend language: two dated snapshots cannot separate a repricing from anything else, so the piece states this week's ticket and last week's, and lets the jury figure carry the standing.
  • The move also cleared the format's dollar and percentage bars as a rise; only the standing (over fair value) is used as the reason to write it.

Notes for reviewer

  • Flagged: this is a rise, framed as a 'hold', and there is simultaneously a member offer ($250) this week — confirm the post does not read as recommending the $250 'deal', since even that price is above the CE 360 fair value ($191.38) and its ceiling ($204.41).
  • Flagged: confirm the like-for-like basis — last Thursday was a single flat price of $209.95, so comparing it to this week's $259.99 list is not a member/non-member artefact.
  • Replay draft on rehearsal vintage 2026-08-27.r; may_publish: false and never flips in replay.

Format note

Price raid, rise direction. Move measured on the harvest pair 2026-08-20 → 2026-08-27: last week one flat price of $209.95 (member = list, no offer); this week $259.99 shelf with a $250 My Dan Murphy's member offer. Like-for-like (last week's single price against this week's list), not a member/non-member basis artefact. Standing read against the bottle's own CE 360 fair value (mean $191.38, band ceiling $204.41, 2026-08-27.r dossier). flag OK, corrected false, in_ce_cohort true.

Frontmatter as merged
{
 "date": "2026-08-27T00:00:00.000Z",
 "title": "Royal Salute 21 is $50 up on last week, and over its jury",
 "angle": "price-raid",
 "position": "n/a",
 "status": "draft",
 "derives_from": "none — standalone; the automated replay cycle grounds this on the week's harvest pair and the vintage's CE 360 bands, no spoke article backs it",
 "grounded_on": "harvest pair 2026-08-20 → 2026-08-27 (the move); 2026-08-27.r dossier (CE 360 fair value)",
 "may_publish": false,
 "replay": true,
 "review_priority": "flagged",
 "artefact_id": "2026-08-27-replay/price-raid/royal-salute-21-year-old-blended-scotch-whisky-700ml-b054f8",
 "format_note": "Price raid, rise direction. Move measured on the harvest pair 2026-08-20 → 2026-08-27: last week one flat price of $209.95 (member = list, no offer); this week $259.99 shelf with a $250 My Dan Murphy's member offer. Like-for-like (last week's single price against this week's list), not a member/non-member basis artefact. Standing read against the bottle's own CE 360 fair value (mean $191.38, band ceiling $204.41, 2026-08-27.r dossier). flag OK, corrected false, in_ce_cohort true.",
 "claims": [
  {
   "item": "Royal Salute 21 Year Old Blended Scotch Whisky 700mL",
   "kind": "price",
   "value": 260
  }
 ],
 "subjects": [
  "Royal Salute 21 Year Old Blended Scotch Whisky 700mL"
 ],
 "verified_at": "2026-09-27T06:11:33.000Z",
 "verified_by": "etl/price_verify.py (harvest sidecar danmurphys_whisky_products_2026-08-27.normalised.csv, as of 2026-08-27)",
 "verified_prices": {
  "11780": 259.99
 },
 "verification_note": "1 price claim(s) verified live",
 "quality_gate": "pass",
 "gated_at": "2026-09-27T06:11:33.000Z",
 "site_publish": true
}
premium over CE 360° · shared scale 0% to +70% across the eleven
source file: drafts/2026-08-27-price-raid-royal-salute-21.md