Jack Daniel's and Buffalo Trace, both at their floor at once

Sources

• generate_cycle.py replay payload, artefact 2026-08-13-replay/compare-the-pair/jack-daniel-s-old-no-7-tennessee-whiskey-700ml-buffalo-trace-264648, grounded on vintage 2026-08-13.r, window as-of 2026-08-13.
• Jack Daniel's Old No.7 Tennessee Whiskey 700mL: live ticket $55 (claim / grounding.ref.price), shelf basis, not a member offer; at its own floor (quiet_discount, own-history percentile 0.0, price variation present, 3 observations).
• Buffalo Trace Bourbon 700mL: live ticket $58 (claim / grounding.cand.price), shelf basis, not a member offer; at its own floor (quiet_discount, own-history percentile 0.0, price variation present, 3 observations).
• Similarity: VSM profile cosine 0.9411, VSM rank 18; CE utility score 0.0090, CE rank 20 (candidate.pair, rank_diff -2). Both USA-tagged, young age statements; style tags differ/unknown. Gap about $3 ($58 − $55); literal bundle sum about $113.
• pair_level t-test not computed (pair_level null); the pair's own past window is too short this early.

Omissions

• Light form only: no CE 360 band, no cross-read CEARP, no Welch t-test on the two means. Those are ruled out here, not implied.
• Both legs carry only 3 in-window observations this early in the 13-week window; the 'at the floor' read rests on a short history and the post keeps it to a timing observation, not a movement claim.
• Bundle price is not asserted beyond the literal sum of the two tickets (about $113).

Notes for reviewer

• Flagged: the pairing is mid-ranked, not close (VSM 18th, CE 20th) — two everyday bourbons the engine considers broadly similar rather than twins. Confirm the post reads as 'both cheap right now, take your pick', not 'these are the same bottle'.
• Flagged: thin grounding — 3 observations per leg this early in the window; both observed this cycle (neither stale); sizes match (700mL each). This is the only compare-the-pair candidate written this cycle: the other two shared an anchor with it (Buffalo Trace, Jack Daniel's) and/or a 700mL-vs-1L size mismatch.
• Replay draft on rehearsal vintage 2026-08-13.r; may_publish: false and never flips in replay.

Format note

Compare the pair, automated light form. Two live tickets and each bottle's own-history position only; no CE 360 bands, no cross-read CEARP, no Welch t-test (the module does not produce them, pair_level null). This is not a divergence piece: the two engines broadly agree (VSM rank 18, CE rank 20, rank_diff -2). It qualifies on both bottles being at their own-history floor this week (quiet_discount). Both prices shelf basis, neither a member offer. Both 700mL.

{
 "date": "2026-08-13T00:00:00.000Z",
 "title": "Jack Daniel's and Buffalo Trace, both at their floor at once",
 "angle": "compare-the-pair",
 "position": "n/a",
 "status": "draft",
 "derives_from": "none — standalone; the automated cycle grounds this on the vintage build and live tickets, no long-form article backs it",
 "grounded_on": "2026-08-13.r (CE/VSM ranks); own-history window as-of 2026-08-13",
 "may_publish": false,
 "replay": true,
 "review_priority": "flagged",
 "artefact_id": "2026-08-13-replay/compare-the-pair/jack-daniel-s-old-no-7-tennessee-whiskey-700ml-buffalo-trace-264648",
 "format_note": "Compare the pair, automated light form. Two live tickets and each bottle's own-history position only; no CE 360 bands, no cross-read CEARP, no Welch t-test (the module does not produce them, pair_level null). This is not a divergence piece: the two engines broadly agree (VSM rank 18, CE rank 20, rank_diff -2). It qualifies on both bottles being at their own-history floor this week (quiet_discount). Both prices shelf basis, neither a member offer. Both 700mL.",
 "claims": [
  {
   "item": "Jack Daniel's Old No.7 Tennessee Whiskey 700mL",
   "kind": "price",
   "value": 55
  },
  {
   "item": "Buffalo Trace Bourbon 700mL",
   "kind": "price",
   "value": 58
  }
 ],
 "subjects": [
  "Jack Daniel's Old No.7 Tennessee Whiskey 700mL",
  "Buffalo Trace Bourbon 700mL"
 ],
 "verified_at": "2026-09-27T05:30:42.000Z",
 "verified_by": "etl/price_verify.py (harvest sidecar danmurphys_whisky_products_2026-08-13.normalised.csv, as of 2026-08-13)",
 "verified_prices": {
  "73587": 54.95,
  "383121": 57.9
 },
 "verification_note": "2 price claim(s) verified live",
 "quality_gate": "pass",
 "gated_at": "2026-09-27T05:30:42.000Z",
 "site_publish": true
}